Analysis | Finally, Boarding Time for Singapore Airlines’ Flight to India

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Singapore Airlines Ltd.’s long-delayed flight to India may finally be ready for takeoff. 

As travel resumes and the carrier moves past the record annual loss it was reporting around this time last year, Chief Executive Officer Goh Choon Phong wants to pursue a multi-hub strategy, one in which airlines owned by it will benefit from aviation demand outside of Singapore. “India is obviously a very important one because it’s going to be massive,” Goh told Bloomberg News, adding that he expects the country to be the third-largest aviation market after China and the U.S. by the middle of the decade, if not sooner. 

It’s a market that has attracted the small Asian city-state for decades. Singapore Airlines had partnered with the Mumbai-based conglomerate Tata Group in the failed 2001 privatization of Air India Ltd. New Delhi finally got around to selling the flag carrier to Tata only last year. During that 20-year period, Middle East rivals tried to make inroads into India. Etihad Airways PJSC invested in Jet Airways India Ltd., whose founder Naresh Goyal ran his carrier into bankruptcy. When Qatar was negotiating for more flights between Indian locations and Doha six years ago, it was told to set up a new airline. Qatar Airways Ltd. even announced a brand-new short-haul carrier for India. While nothing came of that plan, the company has often expressed its keenness to buy a stake in IndiGo, India’s biggest airline.

The Tata Group flirted with others, including Singapore Airlines’ arch rival AirAsia Bhd., with which it launched AirAsia India. Goh, who rose to become CEO in 2011, stuck to Tata, taking a 49% stake in its full-service carrier Vistara. In the seven years that Vistara has been flying, it’s yet to turn a profit even though it now serves nine overseas destinations and covers 31 cities in India. 

But Goh’s loyalty and patience may finally be rewarded: Campbell Wilson, the CEO of Singapore Airlines’ no-frills Scoot brand, is joining as CEO of the newly privatized Air India. This isn’t a case of Tata poaching senior talent from its partner, but rather the beginning of a deeper relationship. Wilson’s move — plus the Tata Group’s plan to lease 700,000 square feet of commercial space near the New Delhi airport to house the corporate offices of Air India, its low-cost subsidiary Air India Express as well as Vistara and AirAsia India — prompted The Morning Context to ask if a merger was on its way. The news website had previously reported that Singapore Airlines and the Indian conglomerate had agreed to keep Vistara and Air India separate for two years. That timeframe to decide on a big, fat, Indian wedding may no longer be sacrosanct, it said. 

For the salt-to-software Tata Group, consolidation of its airline businesses will mean cost efficiencies, for instance, by removing overlapping routes and perhaps losing the AirAsia brand along the way. Meanwhile, a substantial stake in Air India will be the jewel in Singapore Airlines’ crown. Its home base in Singapore is well-suited as a router of international passenger flows between India and the U.S. west coast.

Vistara, which has already started some European routes, plans direct flights to the U.S. as well, effectively giving Singapore Airlines a foothold in the lucrative West-bound market from India, long dominated by Emirates Airline, Etihad and Qatar Airways. If the New Zealand-born Wilson, a Singapore Airlines veteran, can pull off an Air India-Vistara integration, Goh can use the template to roll out his multi-hub strategy in other markets. Hopefully, those efforts won’t drag on for two decades. Or else they may have to be concluded by the successor to the 58-year-old CEO. 

More From This Writer and Others at Bloomberg Opinion:

• Your Pilot Had Suicidal Thoughts? That’s OK: David Fickling and Tim Culpan

• Air India’s Privatization Comes Two Decades Late: Andy Mukherjee

• In Singapore, a Chicken Ban Is a Serious Threat: Daniel Moss

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.

Andy Mukherjee is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering industrial companies and financial services in Asia. Previously, he worked for Reuters, the Straits Times and Bloomberg News.

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