The GBP/USD prepares to finish the week with hefty losses of 0.78%.
US labor data poured cold water on recession fears ahead of next week’s CPI.
BoE’s Pill: The bank will reach its inflation target, but it “will take some time.”
The GBP/USD tanks reached a fresh weekly low at 1.2002 as a reaction to a stellar US employment report which eases US recession fears while increasing the odds for further Federal Reserve aggressive tightening amidst a 9% inflation in the country.
During the day, the GBP/USD peaked at around 1.2169, but as abovementioned, it tumbled. Still, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2078, down 0.67%, though some 70 pips above the day’s low.
GBP/USD plunged on US data
Sentiment remains mixed, with most EU stocks closing with losses while US equities wobble. On Friday, the Department of Labor revealed that July Nonfarm Payrolls added 528K jobs to the US economy, smashing estimations of 250K. Additional data from the US jobs report illustrates that the labor market remains tight, with the Unemployment rate falling to 3.5% and Average Hourly Earnings increasing 0.5% MoM while, on an annual basis, rose by 5.2%
On Thursday, Cleveland’s Fed President Loretta Mester kept her hawkish stance. She said the rate path outlined by June dot plots is “about right,” while adding that a 75 bps for September is “not unreasonable.”
Elsewhere, the Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill crossed wires via Bloomberg. He said that the BoE would return to its 2% inflation target but added that “it’s going to be a process, which is going to take time reflecting the magnitude of shocks we’ve seen,” on Friday. Those remarks came one day after the “old lady” raised rates by 50 bps, the most in 27 years, lifting the Bank’s Rate to 1.75%, and warned that the UK might tap into a recession by the year’s end.
All that said, the GBP/USD prepares to finish the week with losses. The resilience shown by the US economy so far, with ISM PMIs holding the fort in expansionary territory and a solid labor market, paints a positive picture for the greenback. Contrarily, the stagflationary scenario looming in the UK, we can conclude that the Sterling’s weakness could remain towards the next week.
What to watch
Next week, the UK economic docket will feature RICS House Price Balance as the only market mover data. The US docket will feature the Inflation data, namely consumer and producer indices, Initial Jobless Claims, and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment for August.
GBP/USD Key Technical Levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.